Analisis Pembelajaran dalam Pendidikan di Indonesia: Tinjauan Sistematis tentang Model Prediktif dan Strategi Intervensi
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.52436/1.jpti.2251Kata Kunci:
intervensi pendidikan, learning analytics, prediksiAbstrak
Perkembangan learning analytics telah mendorong pemanfaatan data pembelajaran untuk mendukung pengambilan keputusan berbasis data dalam pendidikan. Meskipun berbagai penelitian mengenai model prediktif telah berkembang pesat, kajian yang secara khusus mensintesis implementasi learning analytics pada konteks pendidikan di Indonesia masih terbatas. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis perkembangan model prediktif, faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi keberhasilan akademik, serta strategi intervensi pendidikan berbasis learning analytics melalui pendekatan Systematic Literature Review (SLR) dengan pedoman PRISMA. Penelusuran literatur dilakukan pada basis data Scopus dan Google Scholar untuk publikasi tahun 2022–2026 sehingga diperoleh 20 artikel yang memenuhi kriteria inklusi. Hasil sintesis menunjukkan bahwa algoritma berbasis ensemble learning seperti Random Forest, XGBoost, dan Stacking Ensemble memberikan performa prediksi yang relatif lebih konsisten, sedangkan faktor akademik, aktivitas pada Learning Management System (LMS), motivasi belajar, serta kondisi sosial ekonomi menjadi prediktor utama keberhasilan akademik. Selain itu, sebagian besar penelitian mengembangkan Early Warning System untuk mendukung intervensi akademik secara lebih dini dan tepat sasaran. Kontribusi penelitian ini adalah menyajikan sintesis komprehensif mengenai perkembangan implementasi learning analytics di Indonesia, mengidentifikasi tantangan implementasi, serta memberikan rekomendasi bagi pengembangan penelitian dan sistem pendukung keputusan pendidikan berbasis data.
Unduhan
Referensi
A. Salsabila and R. Rukli, “Analisis Deskriptif Learning Analytics Dalam Menilai Tingkat Literasi Digital Siswa Sekolah Dasar,” J-CEKI J. Cendekia Ilm., vol. 4, no. 6, pp. 563–577, 2025, [Online]. Available: https://al-haramjournal.id/index.php/J-CEKI/article/view/10191
M. Rebelo Marcolino et al., “Student dropout prediction through machine learning optimization: insights from moodle log data,” Sci. Rep., vol. 15, no. 1, pp. 1–16, 2025, doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-93918-1.
M. Nagy and R. Molontay, “Interpretable Dropout Prediction: Towards XAI-Based Personalized Intervention,” Int. J. Artif. Intell. Educ., vol. 34, no. 2, pp. 274–300, 2024, doi: 10.1007/s40593-023-00331-8.
K. Alalawi, R. Athauda, and R. Chiong, An Extended Learning Analytics Framework Integrating Machine Learning and Pedagogical Approaches for Student Performance Prediction and Intervention, vol. 35, no. 3. Springer New York, 2025. doi: 10.1007/s40593-024-00429-7.
K. Alalawi, R. Athauda, R. Chiong, and I. Renner, “Evaluating the student performance prediction and action framework through a learning analytics intervention study,” Educ. Inf. Technol., vol. 30, no. 3, pp. 2887–2916, 2025, doi: 10.1007/s10639-024-12923-5.
C. F. de Oliveira, S. R. Sobral, M. J. Ferreira, and F. Moreira, “How does learning analytics contribute to prevent students’ dropout in higher education: A systematic literature review,” Big Data Cogn. Comput., vol. 5, no. 4, 2021, doi: 10.3390/bdcc5040064.
S. R. Ariyanto, B. Suprianto, Warju, R. Suhartini, M. Samani, and K. R. Haratama, “Hyperparameter Optimization of ANN for Students’ Performance Prediction Using Response Surface Methodology and Genetic Algorithm,” Int. J. Informatics Vis., vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 358–368, 2026, doi: 10.62527/joiv.10.1.3973.
Fitriyani, A. A. Alkodri, and F. Aswin, “A Stacking Ensemble Model for Predicting Student High School Graduation Outcomes,” J. Appl. Data Sci., vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 249–260, 2026, doi: 10.47738/jads.v7i1.1067.
A. Iskandar et al., “Naïve Bayes Classifier-Based Intelligent System for Student Academic Performance Assessment,” Ingénierie des Systèmes d’Information, vol. 30, no. 6, pp. 1609–1620, 2025, doi: https://doi.org/10.18280/isi.300619.
S. A. Priyambada, T. Usagawa, and M. ER, “Two-layer ensemble prediction of students’ performance using learning behavior and domain knowledge,” Comput. Educ. Artif. Intell., vol. 5, no. May, p. 100149, 2023, doi: 10.1016/j.caeai.2023.100149.
M. Gusnina, Wiharto, and U. Salamah, “Student Performance Prediction in Sebelas Maret University Based on the Random Forest Algorithm,” Ing. des Syst. d’Information, vol. 27, no. 3, pp. 495–501, 2022, doi: 10.18280/isi.270317.
R. Alfanz, R. K. Hendrianto, and A. H. A. M. Siagian, “Predicting Student Performance Through Data Mining: A Case Study in Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa University,” J. Adv. Comput. Intell. Intell. Informatics, vol. 27, no. 6, pp. 1159–1167, 2023, doi: 10.20965/jaciii.2023.p1159.
A. I. Sumiati, T. Hariguna, and A. S. Barkah, “Academic Performance Prediction from Student – VLE Bipartite Interaction Graphs Using Centrality Features A Comparative Study with Classical Classifiers,” Sink. J. dan Penelit. Tek. Inform., vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 676–686, 2026, doi: https://doi.org/10.33395/sinkron.v10i1.15798 e-ISSN.
F. I. K. Budiyanto, I. Hermadi, and M. K. D. Hardhienata, “Prediksi Performa Akademik Mahasiswa untuk Kelulusan Predikat Cum Laude dengan Pendekatan Machine Learning Predicting Academic Performance of Students for Graduating with Cum Laude Honors using Machine Learning Approach,” J. Ilmu Komput. dan Agri-informatika, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 39–49, 2024, [Online]. Available: http://journal.ipb.ac.id/index.php/jika
S. Widaningsih, W. Muhamad, R. Hendriyanto, and H. Nugroho, “An ID3 Decision Tree Algorithm-Based Model for Predicting Student Performance Using Comprehensive Student Selection Data at Telkom University,” Ing. des Syst. d’Information, vol. 28, no. 5, pp. 1205–1212, 2023, doi: 10.18280/isi.280508.
A. Aman, N. P. Rahrahima, and A. Fitri, “Implementation of Machine Learning Algorithms for Predicting Student Academic Performance,” IJATIS Indones. J. Appl. Technol. Innov. Sci., vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 1–9, 2026, doi: https://doi.org/10.57152/IJATIS.v3i1.1871.
K. Afandi, M. H. Arief, and M. K. F. Fadil, “Educational Data Mining for Student Academic Performance Analysis,” J. Teknol. Inf. Dan Terap., vol. 11, no. 2, p. 83, 2024, [Online]. Available: https://doi.org/10/25047/jtit.v11i2.434
I. Sapuguh, N. Ahlina, A. Wahyudi, B. Setyawan, and A. S. Rosalinda, “Development of fuzzy logic based student performance prediction system,” J. Tek. Inform. C.I.T Medicom, vol. 15, no. 6, pp. 284–290, 2024, [Online]. Available: https://www.medikom.iocspublisher.org/index.php/JTI/article/view/714
G. Airlangga, “Predicting Student Performance Using Deep Learning Models: A Comparative Study of MLP, CNN, BiLSTM, and LSTM with Attention,” MALCOM Indones. J. Mach. Learn. Comput. Sci., vol. 4, no. 4, pp. 1561–1567, 2024, doi: 10.57152/malcom.v4i4.1668.
A. Triayudi, R. T. Aldisa, and S. Sumiati, “New Framework of Educational Data Mining to Predict Student Learning Performance,” J. Wirel. Mob. Networks, Ubiquitous Comput. Dependable Appl., vol. 15, no. 1, pp. 115–132, 2024, doi: 10.58346/JOWUA.2024.I1.009.
Mustakim, W. J. Sari, and F. Ulfa, “Enhancing Student Performance Classification Through Dimensionality Reduction and Feature Selection in Machine Learning,” Indones. J. Artif. Intell. Data Min., vol. 8, no. 3, pp. 717–727, 2025, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.24014/ijaidm.v8i3.37783.
L. Handayani and Priyadi, “A Machine Learning-Based Early Warning System for Student Performance Prediction?: System Development and Empirical Evaluation in Higher Education,” J. Artif. Intell. Inf. Technol., vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 171–190, 2026, doi: https://doi.org/10.51903/92j5wj58.
S. Fitriana, Rinianty, R. Laila, S. A. Pratama, and C. A. Lamasitudju, “Prediksi Siswa Putus Sekolah dan Keberhasilan Akademik Menggunakan Machine Learning,” Indones. J. Comput. Sci., vol. 13, no. 6, pp. 10207–10220, 2024, doi: https://doi.org/10.33022/ijcs.v13i6.4453.
H. Andrianof, A. P. Gusman, and O. A. Putra, “Implementasi Algoritma Random Forest untuk Prediksi Kelulusan Mahasiswa Berdasarkan Data Akademik: Studi Kasus di Perguruan Tinggi Indonesia,” J. Sains Inform. Terap., vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 24–28, 2025.
A. F. Amor, M. R. Ihsanudina, S. O. Yulistiantoa, and Hidayata, “Prediksi Kinerja Siswa SMP Berdasarkan Data Akademik dan Perilaku Menggunakan Machine Learning,” Teknomatika J. Inform. dan Komput., vol. 18, no. 2, pp. 67–76, 2025.
Riska Rismaya, Dwi Yuniarto, and David Setiadi, “Penerapan Algoritma Machine Learning dalam Prediksi Prestasi Akademik Mahasiswa,” Router J. Tek. Inform. dan Terap., vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 15–23, 2025, doi: 10.62951/router.v3i1.389.









